You have to chuckle at the "15 Months" part. This rule was legally mandated to be enacted 15 months after the CPSIA was signed into law. The presumed date of enactment would then have been November 14, 2009, a mere 14 months ago now. They didn't even published a first draft until May 2010. If the agency can somehow finish this project by January 14, it could be called the "15 Months Times Two" Rule. Then again, it's basically inconceivable that they will make it. Eventually they'll need another name for this thing.
The urgency behind finishing up this rule is that the testing and certification stay expires on February 10, 2011. Remember that Bob Adler already said he wouldn't vote an extension of this stay because . . . he hates stays. Perhaps he prefers market chaos and economic depression instead. Anyhow, to avoid the showdown, they need to get their ducks in a row, hence the need to get this rule going.
I sent in comments on the first draft of this rule on August 3. I wasn't a big fan . . . and I guess other people had reservations, too. According to www.regulations.gov, the CPSC received 112 comments letters (that may overstate the number, because regulations.gov seems to have some duplicates). I haven't read them myself, but I assume I am the only one who saw any flaws in this rule. The rest of the letters are probably just "thank you" notes.
Anyhow, it's worth noting that the Chinese New Year occurs on February 3, 2011 so take my word for it, all the Chinese factories will be closed on Feb. 3rd and probably won't reopen until Feb. 10 at the earliest after a two-week holiday. Some workers are gone three or even four weeks for this holiday. In a "best case" scenario, the CPSC can't take action on this rule until they officially acknowledge the public comment "thank you" notes and hold a public Commission meeting. Do the math - if they choose to take action on this rule now, we will get about ten minutes notice to begin conforming. I can't see any risk of market chaos again . . . can you?
Here's a fairly obvious fact for you - we have not incorporated any of the pending rules into our supply chain or manufacturing processes. Why? You tell me what I'm supposed to do. The rule that has been published is deeply flawed and, basically, stupid. It is not a final rule. 112 comment letters were filed on it. It could change . . . it BETTER change. How am I supposed to implement rules that haven't been published or possibly even written? Telepathy? I don't read minds and I haven't implemented the unknowable, either.
If this does not make your blood boil enough, consider these excerpts from the notice of Final Rule Stage:
- "The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission is charged with protecting the public from unreasonable risks of death and injury associated with consumer products." [Emphasis added] The CPSIA makes consideration of RISK by the CPSC illegal. Bummer, huh? Someone should have told the CPSC because they still claim to be concerned with "risk" of injury.
- "When deciding which of these approaches to take in any specific case, the Commission gathers and analyzes the best available data about the nature and extent of the risk presented by the product." And then ignores it??? See also the final bullet below.
- "As for exemptions [from the "15 Month Rule"], the statute does not appear to give the Commission the authority to exempt firms from the testing or certification requirements, so it may not be possible to exempt firms within section 14 of the CPSA." In other words, HTA, you can lump it. And the CPSC is telling you who to blame - Congress.
- "The congressional mandate to issue this regulation does not require the Consumer Product Safety Commission to do a cost/benefit analysis for this regulation. Therefore, a cost/benefit analysis is not available for this regulatory action." Head-in-sand syndrome. I bet you'll be able to do a cost/benefit analysis pretty quickly when your costs go up again by 20x.
- "[It] is not possible to provide an analysis of the magnitude of the risk this regulatory action addresses." Ahem. And it's okay to put forward a rule of this complexity and far-reaching impact while flying entirely blind because . . . why???
Let's not forget that there's a new Congress being sworn in January 5th. The incoming Republican House majority has pledged to shrink the federal government and to closely examine how regulatory agencies are governing. Hmmm. Help may be on the way . . . soon.